Somalia stands at a crossroads. The ongoing talks between President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud’s government and the Somali Salvation Forum (SSF) represent a rare and critical opportunity — one that could either redefine the country’s political future or fade into yet another chapter of failed promises.
This is not merely a symbolic gesture or a fleeting handshake. It is a historic moment when the two most powerful political forces in Somalia are genuinely engaging at the negotiating table, moving beyond public blame and divisive alliances. The stakes could not be higher.
The Somali people are exhausted by endless political theatrics that fail to improve their daily lives. They have endured leaders squabbling endlessly while critical issues — economic revival, security enhancement, constitutional completion — remain sidelined. This agreement, if earnestly implemented, holds the potential to shift that narrative.
Yet, success depends on overcoming three critical tests. First, trust — a scarce commodity in Somali politics. For too long, politics here has been a zero-sum game where compromise is mistaken for weakness. Both sides must now acknowledge each other’s legitimacy, reduce hostile rhetoric, and demonstrate real commitment through actions.
Second, substance matters. An agreement devoid of a concrete roadmap is little more than empty talk. The Somali public deserves clarity on how the constitution will be finalized, how federal powers will be delineated, how the judiciary will function, and how all political actors — especially marginalized groups — will have a genuine voice. Anything less risks recycling the same old failed politics.
Third, Somalia must end the paralyses of parallel governments, uncoordinated security efforts, and perpetual legal battles. The SSF must prove its dedication to state-building by supporting functioning national institutions. The government, in turn, must treat the opposition not as threats but as partners in national progress.
Above all, the people demand visible results: improved services, job creation, and enhanced security. Political agreements that fail to deliver tangible improvements risk becoming hollow rhetoric. Somalis care less about political posturing than safe schools, thriving businesses, and reliable public services.
The international community is watching closely. Political unity could unlock much-needed aid, bolster Somalia’s regional diplomatic standing, and curb foreign interference. Failure will deepen distrust at home and weaken global support.
We have witnessed grand negotiations and peace deals before — only to relapse into division. This moment must break that cycle, for what is at stake is not just political victory, but the very survival of Somalia.
President Hassan Sheikh and the SSF face a defining test of leadership, vision, and courage. Will Somalia break free from the cycle of mistrust and build a government that truly serves its people? History will judge whether this was the turning point towards unity or the last missed opportunity.
The future lies in our hands.
Avv. Omar Abdulle “Dhagey” is a Somali legal and political analyst specializing in governance and institutional reform.
Email: omardhagey@gmail.com
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The opinion expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Dawan Africa
